On-chain data shows the Bitcoin short-term holders have only been taking minimal profits recently despite the asset’s latest rally.
Bitcoin Short-Term Holder SOPR Is Currently At Relatively Low Levels
As pointed out by an analyst in a CryptoQuant Quicktake, the short-term holder SOPR is still under the range that has signaled overheated conditions for the asset during the past year.
The “Spent Output Profit Ratio” (SOPR) here refers to an indicator that tells us about whether the Bitcoin investors as a whole are selling their coins at a profit or loss.
When the value of this metric is greater than 1, it means the average holder on the network is transferring their coins at a net profit. On the other hand, it being under this mark implies loss-taking is dominant.
In the context of the current discussion, the SOPR of a specific segment of the BTC userbase is of interest: the short-term holders (STHs). This cohort includes the BTC investors who bought their coins within the past 155 days.
Statistically, the longer an investor holds onto their coins, the less likely they become to sell them at any point. As the STHs are relatively young holders, they don’t carry much resilience, and thus, can be prone to panic selling whenever a major change occurs in the market, like a rally or crash.
Now, here is a chart that shows the trend in the Bitcoin STH SOPR over the past year or so:
As displayed in the above graph, the Bitcoin STH SOPR has been above the 1 level recently, suggesting that this group has been realizing a net amount of profit with their transactions.
With the latest bullish push that BTC has seen beyond the $71,000 level, the metric has seen some uplift, as the STHs have ramped up their profit-taking. The indicator is now sitting at 1.017.
It’s apparent from the chat, however, that this is not actually that high a value. According to the quant, the indicator has shown to be overheated whenever it has broken 1.03 during the recent phase of consolidation. The latest value has clearly been under this mark.
As such, the rally could have more room to grow, before the profit-taking from the STHs becomes a threat. This is only assuming that the same 1.03 boundary would apply to the current market as well, since the STH SOPR had been able to visit much higher levels before Bitcoin had encountered a top in March of this year.
The indicator could be to monitor in the coming days, as where it goes next could provide hints about where the cryptocurrency’s price might also be going.
BTC Price
Sitting at the $71,200 level, Bitcoin is now not far from surpassing the high witnessed back in June.
Featured image from Dall-E, CryptoQuant.com, chart from TradingView.com
Keshav is currently a senior writer at NewsBTC and has been attached to the website since June 14, 2021.
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Keshav has been writing for many years, first as a hobbyist and later as a freelancer. He has experience working in a variety of niches, even fiction at one point, but the cryptocurrency industry has been the longest he has been attached to.
In terms of official educational qualifications, Keshav holds a bachelor’s degree in Physics from one of the premier institutes of India, the University of Delhi (DU). He started the degree with an aim of eventually making a career in Physics, but the onset of COVID led to a shift in plans. The virus meant that the college classes had to be delivered in the online-mode and with it came free time for him to explore other passions.
Initially only seeking to make some beer money, Keshav unexpectedly landed clients offering real projects, after which there was no looking back. Writing was something he had always enjoyed and to be able to do it for a living was like a dream come true.
Keshav completed his Physics degree in 2022 and has been focusing on his writing career since, but that doesn’t mean his passion for Physics has ended. He eventually plans to re-enter university to obtain a masters degree in the same field, but perhaps only to satiate his own interest rather than for using it as a means to find employment..
Keshav has found blockchain and its concepts fascinating ever since he started going down the rabbit-hole back in 2020. On-chain analysis in particular has been something he likes to research more about, which is why his NewsBTC pieces tend to involve it in some form.
Being of the science background, Keshav likes if concepts are clear and consistent, so he generally explains the indicators he talks about in a bit of detail so that the readers can perhaps come out having understood and learnt something new.
As for hobbies, Keshav is super into football, anime, and videogames. He enjoys football not only as a watcher, but also as a player. For games, Keshav generally tends towards enjoying singleplayer adventures, with EA FC (formerly FIFA) being the only online game he is active in. Though, perhaps due to being ultra-focused on the game, he is today a semi-pro on the EA FC scene, regularly participating in tournaments and sometimes even taking back prize money.
Because of his enthusiasm for anime and games, he also self-learned Japanese along the way to consume some of the untranslated gems out there. The skill didn’t merely remain as just a hobby, either, as he put it to productive use during his exploration for small-time gigs at the start of COVID, fulfilling a couple of Japanese-to-English translation jobs.
Keshav is also big into fitness, with agility and acceleration-related workouts making a big part of his program due to the relevance they have in football. On top of that, he also has a more traditional strength based program for the gym, which he does to maintain an overall fitness level of his body.
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