On-chain data shows that Dogecoin (DOGE) is among the altcoins that have observed significant losses for 6-month traders, which may help the coin’s price rebound.
Dogecoin MVRV Suggests DOGE May Be Offering A Buy Window
In a new on X, the on-chain analytics firm Santiment has discussed how assets like Dogecoin and XRP (XRP) have been looking like regarding trader returns on various timeframes.
The indicator of relevance here is the popular “Market Value to Realized Value” (MVRV), which keeps track of the ratio between the value that the investors of an asset as a whole are holding (that is, the market cap) and the value that they put into the asset (the realized cap).
When the metric has a value greater than 1, the investors are currently in a state of net unrealized profit. On the other hand, it being under the cutoff implies the dominance of loss in the market.
Historically, whenever the investors of a cryptocurrency have been in a state of high profits, tops have become more probable to occur for its price, as the likelihood of a mass selloff with the motive of profit-taking becomes significant in such conditions.
Similarly, bottoms in the asset’s price have tended to take place when most of the investors have been in losses and sellers have reached a state of exhaustion.
Based on these facts, Santiment has developed an “Opportunity & Danger Zone Model,” which finds out how the mid-term versions of the MVRV have diverged from the norm for the different coins in the sector. Below is the chart for the model shared by the analytics firm.
The “mid-term” versions of the MVRV specifically target the investors who bought inside 30-day, 90-day, and 6-month timeframes. When the divergences of these metrics are positive for an asset, it means said coin may be undervalued right now. Similarly, a negative divergence suggests potential overvalued status.
From the graph, it’s visible that most of the altcoins are currently in the bullish region, with some of them even seeing their divergence surpassing the 1 level, corresponding to a region that Santiment classifies as the “Opportunity Zone.”
According to the analytics firm, Dogecoin, Toncoin (TON), and Ethereum (ETH) have seen the lowest 6-month MVRV values recently, with traders who bought them in the last six months sitting at 32%, 23%, and 22% losses, respectively. Interestingly, unlike these assets, XRP’s 6-month traders are in profits instead.
“As a trader, if you enjoy making profits, you WANT to be in assets where other traders are in pain and seeing losses,” notes Santiment. Based on this, Dogecoin may offer the best window among the top coins, while XRP may be the worst option.
DOGE Price
At the time of writing, Dogecoin is trading around $0.0975, down more than 3% over the past week.
Featured image from Dall-E, Santiment.net, chart from TradingView.com
Keshav is currently a senior writer at NewsBTC and has been attached to the website since June 14, 2021.
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Keshav has been writing for many years, first as a hobbyist and later as a freelancer. He has experience working in a variety of niches, even fiction at one point, but the cryptocurrency industry has been the longest he has been attached to.
In terms of official educational qualifications, Keshav holds a bachelor’s degree in Physics from one of the premier institutes of India, the University of Delhi (DU). He started the degree with an aim of eventually making a career in Physics, but the onset of COVID led to a shift in plans. The virus meant that the college classes had to be delivered in the online-mode and with it came free time for him to explore other passions.
Initially only seeking to make some beer money, Keshav unexpectedly landed clients offering real projects, after which there was no looking back. Writing was something he had always enjoyed and to be able to do it for a living was like a dream come true.
Keshav completed his Physics degree in 2022 and has been focusing on his writing career since, but that doesn’t mean his passion for Physics has ended. He eventually plans to re-enter university to obtain a masters degree in the same field, but perhaps only to satiate his own interest rather than for using it as a means to find employment..
Keshav has found blockchain and its concepts fascinating ever since he started going down the rabbit-hole back in 2020. On-chain analysis in particular has been something he likes to research more about, which is why his NewsBTC pieces tend to involve it in some form.
Being of the science background, Keshav likes if concepts are clear and consistent, so he generally explains the indicators he talks about in a bit of detail so that the readers can perhaps come out having understood and learnt something new.
As for hobbies, Keshav is super into football, anime, and videogames. He enjoys football not only as a watcher, but also as a player. For games, Keshav generally tends towards enjoying singleplayer adventures, with EA FC (formerly FIFA) being the only online game he is active in. Though, perhaps due to being ultra-focused on the game, he is today a semi-pro on the EA FC scene, regularly participating in tournaments and sometimes even taking back prize money.
Because of his enthusiasm for anime and games, he also self-learned Japanese along the way to consume some of the untranslated gems out there. The skill didn’t merely remain as just a hobby, either, as he put it to productive use during his exploration for small-time gigs at the start of COVID, fulfilling a couple of Japanese-to-English translation jobs.
Keshav is also big into fitness, with agility and acceleration-related workouts making a big part of his program due to the relevance they have in football. On top of that, he also has a more traditional strength based program for the gym, which he does to maintain an overall fitness level of his body.
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