{"id":555306,"date":"2023-10-13T23:30:33","date_gmt":"2023-10-13T23:30:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/shenyangcang.com\/?p=555306"},"modified":"2024-06-11T10:53:59","modified_gmt":"2024-06-11T10:53:59","slug":"historical-bitcoin-halving-cycles","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/shenyangcang.com\/news\/historical-bitcoin-halving-cycles\/","title":{"rendered":"What To Expect If Historical Bitcoin Halving Cycles Repeat"},"content":{"rendered":"

It’s been <\/span>quite a bearish week for Bitcoin<\/span><\/a>, as the crypto has fallen around 3% since the beginning of the week. Price action, in particular, has had Bitcoin struggling to break above $27,000, indicating a potential risk of more losses below this resistance level in the near term.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

However, according to a crypto analyst, this current retracement might be the beginning of a historical Bitcoin cycle before each halving.<\/span><\/p>\n

Analyst Shows Bitcoin Price Correction Based On Historical Trends<\/h2>\n

Crypto analyst Rekt Capital has said in a post<\/a> that if historical Bitcoin “halving cycles” are any indication, a major price correction could be right around the corner. The Bitcoin halving cuts the block reward for miners in half.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Related Reading: US Mega Bank JPMorgan Predicts Harsh Drop In This Bitcoin Metric<\/a><\/div>\n

This happens roughly every 4 years to slow the creation of new BTC and control inflation. Based on historical data from the previous two Bitcoin halvings, the price of BTC could drop by up to 38% before the next halving.<\/span><\/p>\n

In a chart shared on X (formerly Twitter), Rekt Capital showed a major pull back has happened around six months before each halving. In the 2015 cycle, BTC retraced 25% 196 days before the 2016 halving.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

In 2019, BTC retraced 38%, 196 days before the 2020 halving. So with the next halving slated to occur around April 2024, it would seem the market is now in a prime position for the next correction.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

\"Bitcoin<\/span><\/p>\n

Previous halving trends | Source: X<\/pre>\n
Bitcoin is currently <\/span>60% below its all-time high<\/span><\/a>, following a similar pattern with past halvings. 200 days before the 2020 halving, BTC was 60% below its <\/span>all-time high<\/span><\/a>. Likewise, 200 days before the 2016 halving, BTC was 65% below its <\/span>all-time high<\/span><\/a>.<\/span><\/p>\n
What A Correction Would Mean For BTC<\/h2>\n
Bitcoin’s price direction is currently uncertain, especially as on-chain transactions on the blockchain are now at a three-month low. On-chain metrics have shown that <\/span>95% of Bitcoin’s circulating supply<\/span><\/a> hasn’t changed hands in the past month, as investors seem to be holding on to the cryptocurrency in anticipation of the SEC’s <\/span>approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs<\/span><\/a>.<\/span><\/p>\n
Although past performance doesn\u2019t always repeat, if this pattern shows up again before the next halving, Bitcoin could be in for a big correction. With the current price of BTC now at $26,770, a 38% retracement could see BTC fall below $18,000. If this happens, it would be devastating for BTC holders.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n
Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Plunge: Long-Term Holders Buy $1.35 Billion Worth Of BTC<\/a><\/div>\n
Even though a price correction may be on the horizon, Bitcoin’s long-term growth prospects remain strong. Over the past decade, Bitcoin has shown a consistent upward trend as the largest crypto by market cap despite facing several setbacks.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n
Bitcoin has been named the <\/span>best performer this year<\/span><\/a> in terms of asset investing by Reflexivity, a digital asset research firm. According to billionaire hedge fund manager Paul Tudor Jones, this is the <\/span>best time to buy BTC.\u00a0<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n
\"Bitcoin<\/p>\n
BTC price at $26,782 | Source: BTCUSD on Tradingview.com<\/a><\/pre>\n
Featured image from Asia Crypto Today, chart from Tradingview.com<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
It’s been quite a bearish week for Bitcoin, as the crypto has fallen around 3% since the beginning of the week. Price action, in particular, has had Bitcoin struggling to break above $27,000, indicating a potential risk of more losses below this resistance level in the near term.\u00a0 However, according to a crypto analyst, this current retracement might be the beginning of a historical Bitcoin cycle before each halving. Analyst Shows Bitcoin Price Correction Based On Historical Trends Crypto analyst Rekt Capital has said in a post that if historical Bitcoin “halving cycles” are any indication, a major price correction could be right around the corner. The Bitcoin halving cuts the block reward for miners in half.\u00a0 Related Reading: US Mega Bank JPMorgan Predicts Harsh Drop In This Bitcoin Metric This happens roughly every 4 years to slow the creation of new BTC and control inflation. Based on historical data from the previous two Bitcoin halvings, the price of BTC could drop by up to 38% before the next halving. In a chart shared on X (formerly Twitter), Rekt Capital showed a major pull back has happened around six months before each halving. In the 2015 cycle, BTC retraced 25% 196 days before the 2016 halving.\u00a0 In 2019, BTC retraced 38%, 196 days before the 2020 halving. So with the next halving slated to occur around April 2024, it would seem the market is now in a prime position for the next correction.\u00a0 Previous halving trends | Source: X Bitcoin is currently 60% below its all-time high, following a similar pattern with past halvings. 200 days before the 2020 halving, BTC was 60% below its all-time high. Likewise, 200 days before the 2016 halving, BTC was 65% below its all-time high. What A Correction Would Mean For BTC Bitcoin’s price direction is currently uncertain, especially as on-chain transactions on the blockchain are now at a three-month low. On-chain metrics have shown that 95% of Bitcoin’s circulating supply hasn’t changed hands in the past month, as investors seem to be holding on to the cryptocurrency in anticipation of the SEC’s approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs. Although past performance doesn\u2019t always repeat, if this pattern shows up again before the next halving, Bitcoin could be in for a big correction. With the current price of BTC now at $26,770, a 38% retracement could see BTC fall below $18,000. If this happens, it would be devastating for BTC holders.\u00a0 Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Plunge: Long-Term Holders Buy $1.35 Billion Worth Of BTC Even though a price correction may be on the horizon, Bitcoin’s long-term growth prospects remain strong. Over the past decade, Bitcoin has shown a consistent upward trend as the largest crypto by market cap despite facing several setbacks.\u00a0 Bitcoin has been named the best performer this year in terms of asset investing by Reflexivity, a digital asset research firm. According to billionaire hedge fund manager Paul Tudor Jones, this is the best time to buy BTC.\u00a0 BTC price at $26,782 | Source: BTCUSD on Tradingview.com Featured image from Asia Crypto Today, chart from Tradingview.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":594,"featured_media":555316,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[8856,656,84627,679,1119,89642,89185,1122,78790,79491],"class_list":["post-555306","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","tag-bitcoin-halving","tag-bitcoin-news","tag-bitcoin-performance","tag-bitcoin-price","tag-btc","tag-btc-halving","tag-btc-news","tag-btc-price","tag-btcusdt","tag-btcust"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nWhat To Expect If Historical Bitcoin Halving Cycles Repeat<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"It's 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During this time, Scott has been able to author countless influential pieces that have drawn in millions of readers and have shaped public opinion across various important topics. His repertoire spans hundreds of articles on various sectors in the crypto industry, including decentralized finance (DeFi), decentralized exchanges (DEXes), Staking, Liquid Staking, emerging technologies, and non-fungible tokens (NFTs), among others. Scott\u2019s influence is not just limited to the countless discussions that his publications have sparked but also as a consultant for major projects in the space. He has consulted on issues ranging from crypto regulations to new technology deployment. Scott\u2019s expertise also spans community building and contributes to a number of causes to further the development of the crypto industry. Scott is an advocate for sustainable practices within the crypto industry and has championed discussions around green blockchain solutions. His ability to keep in line with market trends has made his work a favorite among crypto investors. In his personal life, Scott is an avid traveler and his exposure to the world and various way of life has helped him to understand how important technologies like the blockchain and cryptocurrencies are. This has been key in his understanding of its global impact, as well as his ability to connect socio-economic developments to technological trends around the globe like no one else. Scott is known for his work in community education to help people understand crypto technology and how its existence impacts their lives. He is a well-respected figure in his community, known for his work in helping to enlighten and inspire the next generation as they channel their energies into pressing issues. His work is a testament to his dedication and commitment to education and innovation, as well as the promotion of ethical practices in the rapidly developing world of cryptocurrencies. Scott stands steady in the frontlines of the crypto revolution and is committed to helping to shape a future that promotes the development of technology in an ethical manner that translates to the benefit of all in the society.","sameAs":["https:\/\/x.com\/https:\/\/twitter.com\/MathersonScott"],"url":"https:\/\/shenyangcang.com\/author\/mathersonscott1\/"}]}},"parsely":{"version":"1.1.0","meta":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@type":"NewsArticle","headline":"What To Expect If Historical Bitcoin Halving Cycles Repeat","url":"http:\/\/shenyangcang.com\/news\/historical-bitcoin-halving-cycles\/","mainEntityOfPage":{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"http:\/\/shenyangcang.com\/news\/historical-bitcoin-halving-cycles\/"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/shenyangcang.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/Bitcoin-halving-1.jpeg?resize=200%2C200","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","url":"https:\/\/shenyangcang.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/Bitcoin-halving-1.jpeg?fit=750%2C500"},"articleSection":"Cryptocurrency Market News","author":[{"@type":"Person","name":"Scott Matherson"}],"creator":["Scott Matherson"],"publisher":{"@type":"Organization","name":"NewsBTC","logo":"https:\/\/shenyangcang.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/06\/cropped-cropped-cropped-favicon.png?w=32"},"keywords":["bitcoin halving","bitcoin news","bitcoin performance","bitcoin price","btc","btc halving","btc news","btc price","btcusdt","btcust"],"dateCreated":"2023-10-13T23:30:33Z","datePublished":"2023-10-13T23:30:33Z","dateModified":"2024-06-11T10:53:59Z"},"rendered":"<script type=\"application\/ld+json\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@type\":\"NewsArticle\",\"headline\":\"What To Expect If Historical Bitcoin Halving Cycles Repeat\",\"url\":\"http:\\\/\\\/shenyangcang.com\\\/news\\\/historical-bitcoin-halving-cycles\\\/\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"http:\\\/\\\/shenyangcang.com\\\/news\\\/historical-bitcoin-halving-cycles\\\/\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/shenyangcang.com\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2023\\\/10\\\/Bitcoin-halving-1.jpeg?resize=200%2C200\",\"image\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/shenyangcang.com\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2023\\\/10\\\/Bitcoin-halving-1.jpeg?fit=750%2C500\"},\"articleSection\":\"Cryptocurrency Market News\",\"author\":[{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"name\":\"Scott Matherson\"}],\"creator\":[\"Scott Matherson\"],\"publisher\":{\"@type\":\"Organization\",\"name\":\"NewsBTC\",\"logo\":\"https:\\\/\\\/shenyangcang.com\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2020\\\/06\\\/cropped-cropped-cropped-favicon.png?w=32\"},\"keywords\":[\"bitcoin halving\",\"bitcoin news\",\"bitcoin performance\",\"bitcoin price\",\"btc\",\"btc halving\",\"btc news\",\"btc price\",\"btcusdt\",\"btcust\"],\"dateCreated\":\"2023-10-13T23:30:33Z\",\"datePublished\":\"2023-10-13T23:30:33Z\",\"dateModified\":\"2024-06-11T10:53:59Z\"}<\/script>","tracker_url":"https:\/\/cdn.parsely.com\/keys\/shenyangcang.com\/p.js"},"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/shenyangcang.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/Bitcoin-halving-1.jpeg?fit=750%2C500","amp_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/shenyangcang.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/555306"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/shenyangcang.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/shenyangcang.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/shenyangcang.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/594"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/shenyangcang.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=555306"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/shenyangcang.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/555306\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/shenyangcang.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/555316"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/shenyangcang.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=555306"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/shenyangcang.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=555306"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/shenyangcang.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=555306"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}