{"id":642920,"date":"2024-09-18T16:28:03","date_gmt":"2024-09-18T16:28:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/shenyangcang.com\/?p=642920"},"modified":"2024-09-18T16:28:03","modified_gmt":"2024-09-18T16:28:03","slug":"cme-traders-bet-big-against-bitcoin-as-us-fed-rate-cut-looms","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/shenyangcang.com\/breaking-news-ticker\/cme-traders-bet-big-against-bitcoin-as-us-fed-rate-cut-looms\/","title":{"rendered":"CME Traders Bet Big Against Bitcoin As US Fed Rate Cut Looms"},"content":{"rendered":"
Traders on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) have been increasing their short positions<\/a> on Bitcoin futures ahead of the US Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision, according to K33 analyst David Zimmerman.<\/p>\n This move indicates a cautious approach<\/a> in the market, as the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is expected to announce its latest interest rate decision later today by 2 pm ET<\/p>\n So far, current market sentiment points<\/a> towards a 50 basis-point rate cut, a significant change from the usual monetary policy. This would be the first-rate reduction in four years, causing market participants to brace for potential volatility.<\/p>\n Zimmerman noted that CME traders have notably increased their short positions by 5,500 BTC over the past two days, pushing futures premiums to a nine-month low. This trend suggests a shift<\/a> towards bearish sentiment on Bitcoin in anticipation of the FOMC’s decision.<\/p>\n Additionally, the CME futures market is reflecting fears of heightened volatility, similar to what occurred following the recent US Consumer Price Index (CPI) release.<\/p>\n According to Zimmerman, the “downward sloping futures premiums” on CME, now below 5% for the first time since January 15, indicate “hedging against potential risks” associated with the FOMC meeting.<\/p>\n Zimmerman pointed out that although rate cuts usually relief market conditions<\/a> and may enhance liquidity for risk assets like Bitcoin, worries about a possible economic downturn remain.<\/p>\n The analyst mentioned that the anticipated 50 basis-point cut has amplified these concerns. Historical precedents show that such a significant reduction, like those in 2001 and 2007, heightened recession fears.<\/p>\n Currently, with real interest rates at their cyclical highs and inflation cooling, the Federal Reserve may consider swift cuts to reach a “neutral rate”\u2014a rate that neither stimulates nor restricts the economy, Zimmerman suggested.<\/p>\n The analyst added, noting: “Currently, 125 basis points in cuts are expected by the end of the year.”<\/p>\n Currently, Bitcoin trades at $59,415<\/a>, at the time of writing down by 2.7% in the past day. Despite the bearish sentiment from CME traders, several analysts are optimistic that the fed rate cut will be positive for Bitcoin.<\/p>\n For instance, renowned crypto analyst known as Moustache on X has recently pointed<\/a> to a notable bullish pattern on BTC chart, suggesting that the upcoming FOMC decision could assist the pattern in playing out completely.<\/p>\n #Bitcoin<\/a> (W)<\/p>\n Most exciting FOMC meeting of the year and the chart of $BTC<\/a> looks like this.<\/p>\n Descending broadening wedge for 6 months. RSI is a leading indicator and has already broken out of the downtrend. pic.twitter.com\/zbHNIM5vfc<\/a><\/p>\nThe Looming Rate Cut And The Beforemath<\/h2>\n
Implications Of Interest Rate Cuts On Bitcoin<\/h2>\n
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\nIn the past, these patterns have ALWAYS been bullish.<\/p>\n